Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.476056 0.611171 0.757525 0.925802 1.112089 1.310380 1.535855
2025-03-09 0.252375 0.420056 0.623617 0.878298 1.179628 1.517629 1.918952
2025-03-16 0.148022 0.317553 0.544958 0.847996 1.222782 1.656863 2.185155
2025-03-23 0.095578 0.266363 0.517602 0.869915 1.320228 1.853627 2.513664
2025-03-30 0.055850 0.217717 0.482087 0.872099 1.386004 2.006912 2.786214
2025-04-06 0.026114 0.169281 0.436416 0.853036 1.419289 2.116782 3.004037
2025-04-13 0.015492 0.154532 0.439180 0.898363 1.533629 2.324519 3.337904
2025-04-20 0.008342 0.142088 0.442884 0.943264 1.646310 2.529574 3.668230
2025-04-27 0.004175 0.133903 0.452065 0.995079 1.767564 2.745041 4.011141
2025-05-04 0.002832 0.137303 0.482260 1.078346 1.931313 3.014234 4.419990
2025-05-11 0.000891 0.129815 0.490337 1.127319 2.048221 3.224175 4.756474
2025-05-18 NaN 0.109902 0.470450 1.131291 2.102435 3.353804 4.993916
2025-05-25 NaN 0.075679 0.414305 1.077825 2.080490 3.391955 5.127236
2025-06-01 NaN 0.046857 0.357898 1.018175 2.046952 3.413983 5.240603
2025-06-08 NaN 0.029968 0.321990 0.987624 2.050875 3.481304 5.407082
2025-06-15 NaN 0.024091 0.317126 1.010738 2.132482 3.650698 5.702056
2025-06-22 NaN 0.016725 0.301898 1.013284 2.182781 3.778032 5.943509
2025-06-29 NaN 0.008938 0.275737 0.992582 2.196808 3.856019 6.121657
2025-07-06 NaN 0.008255 0.285742 1.041673 2.316435 4.075914 6.480922
2025-07-13 NaN 0.007592 0.295458 1.090198 2.435309 4.294976 6.839387
2025-07-20 NaN 0.007490 0.308841 1.146101 2.565613 4.529672 7.218128
2025-07-27 NaN 0.009817 0.339057 1.235730 2.747719 4.834558 7.686975
2025-08-03 NaN 0.009401 0.350662 1.288337 2.873311 5.063305 8.058648